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SPX Rebounds on Geopolitical Relief as Volatility Collapses+ My Weekly Income Strategy

Apr 13, 2026
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Hey Traders,

The S&P 500 Index rose 3.6% this week, marking its strongest gain since November. This move snapped a five-week losing streak and pushed the index back above its 200-day moving average.

The rally was largely driven by easing geopolitical tensions following a U.S.–Iran ceasefire, which helped suppress volatility and temporarily stabilize risk sentiment. However, ongoing negotiations continue to keep uncertainty elevated in the background.

Oil markets reacted sharply to the news. WTI crude posted its largest single-day decline since 2020 on Wednesday, dropping 16.4% to settle near $94.41 per barrel.

On the macroeconomic front, March inflation came in at 3.3%, broadly in line with expectations. Meanwhile, jobless claims ticked higher, signaling a gradual cooling in labor market conditions.


⚠️ What Will Drive Markets Next Week

• Producer Price Index (PPI) – Tuesday: A key inflation reading that could influence rate expectations.
• Jobless Claims – Thursday: An important update on continued labor market softening.
• Bank Earnings: Major financial institutions reporting this week may shape broader market sentiment and credit outlooks.
• Geopolitics: Ongoing Iran negotiations remain a key driver of volatility in both oil and equity markets.


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Talk soon,
Gautam

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